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Red59
264822.2
632926.7
622417.1
Blue85
526514.2
345121.3
151933.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676645505560707580855985

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#11
26.70.3
24.824.5
Auto3.7
Teleop19.6
End3.3
blue by 6.7
33.41.5
31.032.6
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End8.8
Second
2648
#16
22.20.3
21.721.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.0
red by 1.0
21.31.5
17.919.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End7.4
Third
6224
#21
17.10.3
16.516.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 2.9
5265
#30
14.21.5
13.214.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed87%HAB Docking oddsEarned