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Red63
447314.5
345121.3
176825.7
Blue47
454612.5
549411.8
404127.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49442030406070806347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.5
22.823.3
Auto3.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
blue by 2.1
27.80.4
24.024.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.1
End8.2
Second
21.30.5
15.015.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End7.4
red by 8.7
4546
#22
12.50.4
7.68.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End5.1
Third
4473
#25
14.50.5
9.09.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End3.0
red by 2.8
5494
#20
11.80.4
9.610.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsEarned