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Red70
617219.8
549411.8
456425.1
Blue52
622417.1
563311.5
490621.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54530204060801007052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#10
25.10.8
22.823.6
Auto3.2
Teleop14.9
End7.0
red by 3.5
4906
#13
21.60.9
21.820.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.4
Second
6172
#28
19.80.8
18.219.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
red by 2.7
6224
#21
17.10.9
16.315.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Third
5494
#20
11.80.8
10.411.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
red by 0.3
5633
#32
11.50.9
12.311.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed