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Red39
360912.0
393017.8
271218.0
Blue46
345121.3
490621.6
549411.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45502030406070803946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2712
#23
18.00.2
13.413.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End5.6
blue by 3.6
4906
#13
21.60.1
21.221.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.4
Second
3930
#14
17.80.2
17.617.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 3.5
21.30.1
14.914.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End7.4
Third
3609
#29
12.00.2
11.110.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End2.2
red by 0.2
5494
#20
11.80.1
10.910.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsEarned