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Red54
283422.5
521627.7
523012.5
Blue68
437521.5
90423.4
515012.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6560405070805468

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
27.327.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End8.5
red by 4.3
904
#7
23.40.3
22.322.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End4.7
Second
22.50.2
22.722.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.5
red by 1.1
4375
#19
21.50.3
21.822.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Third
5230
#17
12.50.2
11.911.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.9
blue by 0.2
5150
#21
12.70.3
12.612.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.8