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Red42
78615.3
655712.7
283422.5
Blue35
170115.8
71567.1
776815.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41351020305060704235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.2
20.320.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.5
red by 6.7
1701
#33
15.80.1
16.216.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Second
6557
#32
12.70.2
10.310.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End2.9
blue by 2.5
7768
#11
15.20.1
10.911.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Third
7861
#30
5.30.4
7.88.2
Auto4.6
Teleop-1.4
End2.1
blue by 1.8
7156
#36
7.10.1
6.26.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed