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Red47
521627.7
553511.1
782712.0
Blue51
170115.8
566110.8
438410.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5140203060704751

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
23.923.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End8.5
red by 11.9
1701
#33
15.80.7
16.317.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Second
7827
#31
12.00.3
12.011.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.3
red by 1.1
4384
#14
10.90.7
12.813.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Third
5535
#24
11.10.3
11.911.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End4.1
red by 0.3
5661
#20
10.80.7
8.49.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed