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Red59
550521.8
782312.8
483512.1
Blue88
3335.3
170115.8
521627.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45792040601005988

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.1
19.921.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.1
blue by 13.5
33
#2
35.30.9
33.834.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.2
End10.0
Second
7823
#22
12.81.1
13.014.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End3.2
blue by 14.8
27.70.9
23.824.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.8
End8.5
Third
4835
#28
12.11.1
10.111.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 3.7
1701
#33
15.80.9
17.017.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned