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Red43
566110.8
90423.4
570214.9
Blue59
520317.8
717213.8
776815.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45462030405060704359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#7
23.40.0
20.220.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End4.7
red by 5.6
5203
#29
17.80.9
17.218.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Second
5702
#18
14.90.0
12.112.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End3.9
blue by 0.3
7768
#11
15.20.9
13.714.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Third
5661
#20
10.80.0
10.310.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End3.1
blue by 3.0
7172
#13
13.80.9
12.413.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed