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Red38
550521.8
77519.2
655712.7
Blue48
361711.0
553027.2
782712.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435820803848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.2
21.621.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.1
blue by 5.5
27.20.5
28.528.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End7.1
Second
6557
#32
12.70.2
11.411.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End2.9
red by 0.6
7827
#31
12.00.5
13.012.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Third
7751
#26
9.20.2
7.87.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.2
End2.8
blue by 1.8
3617
#25
11.00.5
13.713.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed