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Red50
655712.7
10727.0
782312.8
Blue83
483512.1
353838.0
570214.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52622040801005083

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#5
27.00.0
26.026.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0
blue by 11.1
38.01.6
35.437.0
Auto5.4
Teleop23.3
End9.3
Second
7823
#22
12.80.0
12.212.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End3.2
blue by 2.1
5702
#18
14.91.6
11.913.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Third
6557
#32
12.70.0
11.211.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End2.9
red by 0.6
4835
#28
12.11.6
11.212.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned69%HAB Docking oddsEarned