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Red85
523012.5
283422.5
353838.0
Blue19
550521.8
438410.9
553511.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7550203040607080908519

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.9
36.637.6
Auto5.4
Teleop23.3
End9.3
red by 16.3
21.82.6
22.019.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.1
Second
22.50.9
22.623.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End3.5
red by 11.4
5535
#24
11.12.6
10.98.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Third
5230
#17
12.50.9
11.812.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.9
red by 1.5
4384
#14
10.92.6
14.311.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed