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Red53
607722.0
523012.5
361711.0
Blue52
561214.9
782712.0
776815.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846304060705352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#16
22.00.2
22.021.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.8
End2.6
red by 6.7
7768
#11
15.20.5
15.515.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Second
5230
#17
12.50.2
12.712.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.2
End1.9
blue by 2.4
5612
#34
14.90.5
15.414.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End4.1
Third
3617
#25
11.00.2
11.211.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.3
blue by 1.0
7827
#31
12.00.5
12.512.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed