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Red49
52398.4
550521.8
515012.7
Blue35
607722.0
782712.0
570214.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44443540504935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.5
16.416.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.1
blue by 0.2
6077
#16
22.00.5
18.518.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Second
5150
#21
12.70.5
13.614.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.8
blue by 2.2
5702
#18
14.90.5
10.910.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Third
5239
#23
8.40.5
11.912.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.5
blue by 3.7
7827
#31
12.00.5
12.412.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed