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Red67
353720.6
608721.1
531412.7
Blue73
550515.9
473719.0
526016.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56502030406070806773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.3
20.721.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End7.7
red by 2.1
4737
#12
19.00.5
17.417.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Second
20.60.3
20.220.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.2
red by 3.7
5260
#35
16.90.5
15.315.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
5314
#15
12.70.3
12.212.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 3.2
5505
#25
15.90.5
14.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.5