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Red59
550515.9
607921.5
612117.6
Blue55
782313.1
553412.2
556015.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523920306070805955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.7
19.119.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End5.4
red by 6.5
5560
#14
15.00.9
13.514.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Second
6121
#11
17.61.1
13.814.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
red by 4.6
7823
#16
13.10.9
11.112.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Third
5505
#25
15.91.1
16.117.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 3.6
5534
#23
12.20.9
12.113.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned