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Red12
51839.9
65999.3
71559.5
Blue42
531412.7
552511.5
71729.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324110205060701242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5183
#29
9.92.1
11.39.2
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 2.7
5314
#15
12.70.3
13.813.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Second
7155
#36
9.52.1
12.110.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End2.9
blue by 2.0
5525
#19
11.50.3
12.512.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Third
6599
#30
9.32.1
7.35.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End2.2
blue by 0.5
7172
#26
9.90.3
12.512.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed