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Red28
72508.4
782313.1
439216.8
Blue47
715417.7
556015.0
526016.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394720305060702847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#22
16.81.0
14.713.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 0.9
17.70.1
16.817.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Second
7823
#16
13.11.0
12.011.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 3.9
5260
#35
16.90.1
13.513.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
7250
#33
8.41.0
10.39.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 6.6
5560
#14
15.00.2
14.414.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned