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Red21
553412.2
552511.5
57097.3
Blue52
498311.6
507215.3
663719.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38461020305060702152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#23
12.22.0
13.011.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 6.8
19.00.2
17.017.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End5.1
Second
5525
#19
11.52.0
12.210.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 3.8
5072
#13
15.30.3
14.014.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Third
5709
#34
7.32.0
11.09.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.5
blue by 4.3
4983
#27
11.60.3
12.212.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed