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Red61
86223.2
71559.5
607921.5
Blue42
498311.6
717113.7
607719.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5140203060706142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#4
23.20.9
18.619.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End5.7
red by 3.4
6077
#10
19.90.4
17.217.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Second
21.50.9
20.121.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End5.4
red by 7.8
7171
#31
13.70.4
9.19.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Third
7155
#36
9.51.5
9.210.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End2.9
blue by 2.1
4983
#27
11.60.4
11.812.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed