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Red44
782313.1
353720.6
657316.6
Blue31
531412.7
353624.8
22466.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494301020306070804431

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
17.917.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.2
blue by 4.2
24.80.6
24.123.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End7.5
Second
6573
#18
16.60.3
17.617.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End2.2
red by 3.9
5314
#15
12.71.0
11.310.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
7823
#16
13.10.3
11.311.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.0
red by 6.9
2246
#39
6.11.0
5.14.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed