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Red64
473719.0
715417.7
51839.9
Blue52
556015.0
550515.9
717113.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45411020305060706452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4737
#12
19.00.6
16.116.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
red by 3.2
5505
#25
15.90.1
14.814.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Second
17.70.6
16.216.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End3.7
red by 2.6
5560
#14
15.00.1
13.213.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End5.5
Third
5183
#29
9.90.9
10.811.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 3.8
7171
#31
13.70.1
10.510.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed