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Red38
52308.8
498311.6
526016.9
Blue65
612117.6
207530.5
507215.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405820305070803865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#35
16.90.4
13.713.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 13.6
30.51.0
27.128.1
Auto3.3
Teleop18.9
End8.3
Second
4983
#27
11.60.6
11.010.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
blue by 6.0
6121
#11
17.61.0
16.117.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Third
5230
#32
8.80.6
12.812.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 6.6
5072
#13
15.31.0
12.213.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned