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Red42
22466.1
607921.5
507215.3
Blue50
473719.0
724412.7
550515.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434502060801004250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.1
21.521.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.2
End5.4
red by 2.5
4737
#12
19.00.5
17.417.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Second
5072
#13
15.30.1
15.015.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End3.5
blue by 0.5
5505
#25
15.90.6
13.614.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Third
2246
#39
6.10.1
4.74.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 6.6
7244
#28
12.70.6
11.912.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed