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Red30
72508.4
65999.3
473719.0
Blue52
498311.6
51839.9
86223.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39451020305060703052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4737
#12
19.00.4
17.817.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 4.2
862
#4
23.20.6
22.423.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End5.7
Second
6599
#30
9.30.5
9.89.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End2.2
blue by 2.3
4983
#27
11.60.7
10.911.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Third
7250
#33
8.40.5
8.98.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 1.5
5183
#29
9.90.7
9.29.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned