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Red43
526016.9
724412.7
782313.1
Blue31
43807.7
52308.8
717113.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423310205060704331

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#35
16.90.2
15.115.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 3.2
7171
#31
13.70.2
13.713.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Second
7823
#16
13.10.2
12.612.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.0
red by 4.3
5230
#32
8.80.2
9.39.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
7244
#28
12.70.2
12.512.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.7
red by 5.0
4380
#37
7.70.2
7.97.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed