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Red50
71729.9
353624.8
57097.3
Blue38
71559.5
71098.4
552511.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422810205060705038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.7
23.924.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End7.5
red by 13.3
5525
#19
11.50.9
10.711.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Second
7172
#26
9.90.8
9.19.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End2.8
red by 0.3
7155
#36
9.50.9
8.39.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Third
5709
#34
7.30.8
6.57.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.5
blue by 1.1
7109
#21
8.40.9
7.58.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed