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Red33
506917.7
81516.3
31312.4
Blue41
549815.8
71919.9
553117.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47472030406070803341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.7
17.717.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End5.4
red by 0.6
5531
#11
17.10.3
16.015.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End4.2
Second
815
#12
16.30.7
14.113.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 0.5
5498
#16
15.80.3
19.819.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.6
Third
313
#19
12.40.7
12.411.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End3.3
red by 2.5
7191
#22
9.90.3
9.18.9
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed