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Red53
505034.8
54.3
81516.3
Blue26
71919.9
31312.4
86222.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150204060801005326

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
31.632.0
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End8.4
red by 12.2
862
#14
22.61.4
26.625.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End3.4
Second
815
#12
16.30.3
13.313.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 3.9
313
#19
12.41.4
11.710.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End3.3
Third
5
#25
4.30.6
3.03.5
Auto3.6
Teleop0.4
End0.3
blue by 5.5
7191
#22
9.91.4
8.97.5
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed