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Qual 312019 Big Bang!
Red47
553117.1
661821.8
31312.4
Blue42
691414.2
590718.0
549815.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505602040801004742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#9
21.80.0
22.1→22.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 3.8
5907
#13
18.00.7
19.0→18.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Second
5531
#11
17.10.0
15.3→15.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End4.2
red by 1.3
5498
#16
15.80.7
19.7→19.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.6
Third
313
#19
12.40.0
10.3→10.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End3.3
blue by 1.9
6914
#15
14.20.7
14.0→13.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed