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Red54
81516.3
262018.0
365521.7
Blue68
33B27.1
31312.4
590718.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575602040801005468

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#23
21.70.0
22.922.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End4.0
blue by 5.4
33B
#2
27.11.2
24.325.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End5.8
Second
2620
#24
18.00.0
17.217.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End4.9
blue by 0.1
5907
#13
18.00.8
18.319.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
815
#12
16.30.0
13.613.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 3.9
313
#19
12.40.8
10.211.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed11%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsEarned