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Red51
661821.8
549815.8
506917.7
Blue87
3604B18.9
553024.9
505034.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597820401001205187

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.3
22.021.6
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End1.5
blue by 13.0
34.80.9
32.833.7
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End8.4
Second
17.70.3
18.017.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 7.2
24.90.9
22.923.8
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End6.7
Third
5498
#16
15.80.3
16.015.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.6
End2.6
blue by 3.1
18.90.9
17.818.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned