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Red35
150215.3
56199.7
686121.0
Blue67
506614.6
505028.2
439513.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3953305060703567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.2
15.715.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.3
blue by 7.3
28.21.5
21.222.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
1502
#20
15.30.2
12.011.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End4.8
red by 0.7
5066
#15
14.61.5
16.017.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.4
End3.6
Third
5619
#34
9.70.1
8.88.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 3.4
4395
#12
13.11.5
13.114.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsEarned