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Red45
48408.1
717511.7
705616.2
Blue35
605712.4
107619.5
591511.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334210203050604535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7056
#10
16.21.2
12.713.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End3.3
blue by 3.3
1076
#14
19.50.5
15.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End4.2
Second
7175
#26
11.71.2
11.813.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.0
End3.5
blue by 0.8
6057
#32
12.40.5
15.515.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Third
4840
#38
8.10.7
6.47.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.6
blue by 3.2
5915
#31
11.30.5
8.78.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed