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Red18
717511.7
686121.0
61163.1
Blue28
56199.7
48408.1
365626.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.02.3
19.216.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.3
blue by 5.5
26.51.2
24.523.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End7.2
Second
7175
#26
11.72.3
13.110.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.0
End3.5
red by 2.0
5619
#34
9.70.7
7.66.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
6116
#39
3.12.3
8.35.9
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.4
End1.3
blue by 5.0
4840
#38
8.10.7
7.16.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed