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Red46
601310.1
661512.2
24018.7
Blue33
785912.6
591511.3
56199.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41280102050604633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#6
18.70.7
17.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 6.2
7859
#36
12.60.6
10.911.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Second
6615
#35
12.20.7
11.912.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End2.2
red by 0.9
5915
#31
11.30.6
9.29.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.2
Third
6013
#33
10.10.5
9.19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.6
red by 0.5
5619
#34
9.70.4
6.87.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed