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Red76
377016.0
365626.5
695413.2
Blue78
505028.2
31315.4
686121.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496120304070807678

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.6
23.726.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End7.2
blue by 1.7
28.20.9
26.327.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
3770
#29
16.02.4
12.014.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End5.2
blue by 5.0
21.00.9
18.219.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Third
6954
#22
13.22.9
10.513.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.5
End4.0
blue by 2.2
313
#19
15.41.0
13.714.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned