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Red59
56199.7
377016.0
31315.4
Blue41
440514.8
150215.3
615212.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3946203050605941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#29
16.01.6
14.516.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End5.2
red by 0.7
1502
#20
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End4.8
Second
313
#19
15.41.8
14.616.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End3.2
red by 0.7
4405
#28
14.80.4
15.114.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
5619
#34
9.71.4
8.29.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 2.3
6152
#24
12.00.4
12.412.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed