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Red81
505028.2
102528.1
48408.1
Blue66
107619.5
686121.0
610115.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68543040506080908166

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.3
28.128.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End8.1
red by 7.3
21.00.3
19.419.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
28.10.3
28.128.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End9.0
red by 8.6
1076
#14
19.50.3
18.018.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End4.2
Third
4840
#38
8.10.3
8.08.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.6
blue by 7.1
6101
#21
15.10.3
13.613.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End3.5