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Red73
496120.3
481015.8
233725.4
Blue54
24525.8
584315.3
516617.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6562405070807354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.1
25.725.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.2
End7.4
blue by 0.4
245
#14
25.80.1
25.925.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End6.8
Second
20.30.1
20.620.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End6.2
red by 2.7
5166
#22
17.60.1
17.717.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Third
4810
#18
15.80.1
15.715.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End4.5
red by 0.5
5843
#11
15.30.1
15.415.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.8