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Red50
6614.4
481015.8
550212.4
Blue63
22625.0
332213.9
283418.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466102040801001205063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4810
#18
15.80.4
15.115.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End4.5
blue by 9.2
226
#4
25.00.3
23.724.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End7.1
Second
66
#32
14.40.4
14.214.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End3.5
blue by 4.5
18.90.3
20.620.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
5502
#31
12.40.4
14.114.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 1.5
3322
#28
13.90.3
13.914.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned