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Red37
24525.8
283418.9
575611.9
Blue54
118921.9
686117.1
3320.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676740506070803754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#14
25.81.7
27.425.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End6.8
red by 3.9
21.90.7
22.721.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Second
18.91.7
20.919.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.1
End2.7
blue by 1.9
33
#21
20.80.7
24.723.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Third
5756
#12
11.91.7
14.412.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
blue by 5.1
6861
#26
17.10.7
17.316.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsMissed