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Red55
296027.6
341422.7
516617.6
Blue45
686117.1
481015.8
353420.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786120401001205545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.3
28.627.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.5
End8.1
red by 7.1
3534
#10
20.50.8
23.222.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.8
Second
3414
#25
22.71.3
25.924.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End6.2
red by 5.6
6861
#26
17.10.8
18.117.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End1.4
Third
5166
#22
17.61.3
19.418.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
red by 1.8
4810
#18
15.80.8
16.115.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed