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Red57
86217.8
213722.3
262014.1
Blue44
661815.3
125015.5
607817.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60522040801005744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.0
23.123.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.8
End7.6
red by 4.8
6078
#14
17.50.2
17.917.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Second
862
#8
17.80.0
18.518.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 2.3
15.50.2
15.915.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
2620
#17
14.10.0
14.814.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End5.2
blue by 1.2
6618
#10
15.30.2
15.715.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.1