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Red50
86217.8
365520.8
370717.3
Blue52
125015.5
607817.5
353827.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71650501001505052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#19
20.81.2
23.522.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
blue by 6.5
27.30.7
24.724.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.8
End7.4
Second
862
#8
17.81.2
19.518.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
red by 0.3
6078
#14
17.50.7
18.217.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Third
3707
#20
17.31.2
24.323.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End6.0
red by 1.7
15.50.7
18.918.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed