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Red44
102322.1
661815.3
365520.8
Blue29
69148.2
370717.3
317512.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654802040801001201401604429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.2
22.921.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End5.4
red by 4.8
3707
#20
17.31.5
20.919.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End6.0
Second
3655
#19
20.81.2
21.720.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
red by 8.8
3175
#22
12.01.5
14.212.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Third
6618
#10
15.31.2
17.216.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.1
red by 7.1
6914
#24
8.21.5
10.38.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed