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Red36
485410.4
317512.0
262014.1
Blue44
370717.3
661614.3
360421.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4059020801001201401603644

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#17
14.10.3
13.413.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End5.2
blue by 7.4
3604
#11
21.50.8
20.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Second
3175
#22
12.00.3
12.712.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 5.3
3707
#20
17.30.8
19.418.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End6.0
Third
4854
#13
10.40.3
11.611.3
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.9
blue by 3.9
14.30.8
15.314.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed