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Red39
118918.4
45311.2
759711.5
Blue29
776211.8
30969.0
609914.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3533152025304045503929

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#16
18.40.0
13.613.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.5
End3.2
red by 4.3
6099
#25
14.00.6
10.19.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.4
Second
7597
#27
11.50.0
10.110.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End3.9
blue by 0.3
7762
#29
11.80.6
11.110.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
453
#40
11.20.0
9.29.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 2.1
3096
#38
9.00.6
9.89.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed