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Red75
285125.2
759711.5
102529.8
Blue40
317517.4
81816.7
440515.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60482030407080907540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.2
28.429.6
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End8.4
red by 12.4
3175
#23
17.41.2
16.715.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Second
25.22.0
17.819.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End4.6
red by 8.5
818
#15
16.71.2
14.413.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Third
7597
#27
11.52.0
10.412.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End3.9
blue by 3.6
4405
#14
15.10.7
14.113.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed