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Red39
170115.9
609610.1
45311.2
Blue35
481116.3
656712.7
609914.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334010205060703935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#10
15.90.5
11.512.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 0.4
4811
#11
16.31.0
13.512.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Second
453
#40
11.20.8
9.410.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 2.9
6099
#25
14.01.0
11.610.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.4
Third
6096
#32
10.10.8
10.511.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End2.1
blue by 2.6
6567
#33
12.70.6
13.012.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed